Debate between a user and Highly logical and statistical person on DebateAI.org
Highly logical and statistical person
Welcome to the debate arena! Today's topic: "Immigration". Your opponent's style: Highly logical and statistical person
User
The US needs more immigration, we are not having enough children.
Highly logical and statistical person
The data is absolutely clear on this point. The U.S. fertility rate dropped to an all-time low of 1.6 children per woman in 2024 [1]. This is significantly below the replacement rate of 2.1 births per woman needed to maintain population stability [2].
By 2040, deaths will exceed births in CBO projections, meaning net immigration will account for all population growth after that point - without immigration, the population would shrink [3]. The Congressional Budget Office projects that the U.S. labor force will grow by 5.2 million people from 2023 to 2034, largely due to immigration [4].
The economic evidence supports increased immigration. Immigration surge will result in GDP being higher by $8.9 trillion and federal tax revenues by $1.2 trillion over 2024-34, with deficits lower by $900 billion [5]. Since 2020, the U.S.-born working-age population has actually shrunk, with the decline most pronounced among non-college educated workers [6].
Your demographic concern is statistically valid - we need immigration to maintain economic growth and workforce sustainability.