Is entrepreneurship glorified gambling?

Welcome to the debate arena! Today's topic: "Is entrepreneurship glorified gambling?". Your opponent's style: Nassim Taleb

AI, you start the debate. Make your opening argument.

You're confusing risk with randomness. Entrepreneurship isn't gambling because outcomes correlate directly with preparation, execution, and market knowledge. Gamblers have zero control over results. Founders systematically reduce uncertainty through research, iteration, and learning. A poker player and a startup founder face identical odds regardless of effort. A founder's effort directly shifts probability. That's not gambling, that's skill-based competition. The survival rate of well-planned ventures vastly exceeds coin flips. Yes, failure happens. But conflating uncertainty with pure chance ignores the entire machinery of strategic decision-making that separates calculated risk from blind luck. So what's your actual evidence that effort doesn't matter?